Most people have a sense that, much like farmers, fishers are highly dependent of the whims of nature: in some years, mother Earth provides a feast, in other years a famine, with seemingly little connection between the two. There can be little doubt about the need for such forecasts. But is it that far-fetched? And have you ever considered why we don’t have forecasts of fish? Weather forecasts have become such an integral part of our lives that we instantly recognize their language and structure, even when, as in this case, the nouns are replaced by something (seemingly) nonsensical. Visibility clearing up over the weekend, with good chances for herring and mackerel. Passing schools of tuna at times on Friday, dense in some places. For Dogger, Forties and Fisher, a chance of sprat today. Positive sea surface anomalies to the North are driving an intrusion of warm water onto the shelf, bringing with it Lusitanian species and saline conditions. “And now the long-range forecast to midnight Monday, 26 th July 2031. The latest version of the forecasts that he has developed can be found on the website Payne is also the leader of the Climate Services work package within the EU H2020 project “Blue Action”. His work is pioneering the development of Climate Services for monitoring and managing life in the ocean in Europe and involves coupling biological knowledge to climate models to produce predictions that are of direct relevance to end-users. Payne is a Senior Researcher at the Technical University of Denmark (DTU-Aqua) in Copenhagen, Denmark, whose research examines the impacts of climate change and climate variability on life in the ocean. Why we don’t have forecasts of fish? Passing school of Northern Anchovy at the Monterey Bay Aquarium, California (photo: Kirstin Werner).
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